The Revised Natural History Model for Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis

In the following model, survival probability of a patient with primary sclerosing cholangitis is estimated based on the following variables. Please enter data in the corresponding boxes.

Please choose one of the following for history of variceal bleeding.
Risk score:
Estimated Probability of Survival (%)
Time 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4

Kim WR et al. A revised natural history model for primary sclerosing cholangitis. Mayo Clinic Proceedings 2000;75:688-694. PubMed.