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Gastroenterology and Hepatology in Minnesota

The Revised Natural History Model for Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis

In the following model, survival probability of a patient with primary sclerosing cholangitis is estimated based on the following variables. Please enter data in the corresponding boxes.

How old is the patient? (years)
What is the bilirubin? (mg/dl)
What is the albumin? (g/dl)
What is the AST? (IU/l)
Please choose one of the following for history of variceal bleeding. No history
Past history

Risk score:

Estimated Probability of Survival (%)
Time 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
100


Kim WR et al. A revised natural history model for primary sclerosing cholangitis. Mayo Clinic Proceedings 2000;75:688-694. PubMed.

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